Beware Extension Risk in Older European CLOs
May 29, 2013
European collateralized loan obligations (CLOs) issued before the financial crisis are nearing the end of their reinvestment periods. Yet the maturities of the loans that serve as collateral for these deals continue to shift further out into the future, in part because borrowers are renegotiating the terms.
This creates potential risks for CLO investors, according to Standard & Poor’s. In a report published May 14, the rating agency said CLO noteholders may have to wait longer to get their principal back. They may also have to accept lower returns if CLO managers opt to sell loans in the secondary market in order to repay the note principal.
Investors in both the U.S. and Europe are starting to get wise to this risk, however, as many CLOs completed more recently carry conditions that have to be fulfilled before these amend-to-extend deals can push through.
S&P said that, at the end of 2012, the maturities of leveraged loans backing the CLOs it rates were concentrated in 2017 and 2018. That represents a shift from the end of 2011, when the peak years were 2015 and 2016.
For example, at the end of 2012, these CLOs were invested in €15 billion ($19.3 billion) of leveraged loans maturing in 2017. By contrast, at the end of 2011, these CLOs had only €8.9 billion of loans maturing in 2017, and at the end of 2010 this figure was just €6.5 billion.
S&P sees two factors contributing to this shift to longer-dated assets. In certain cases, the CLO manager has some ability to reinvest, even after the end of the deal’s reinvestment period. In some cases, they are recycling principal proceesd by investing in longer-dated assets in order to keep the CLO invested.
But even if the manager cannot reinvest, a CLO’s loan maturities may be shifted as the result of amendments modifying the terms of its existing holdings. These so-called amend-to-extend transactions prolong the maturity of existing loans. Often they also result in a change in the loan’s spread, bringing it closer to current primary market levels, S&P said.
Pros and Cons of Amending & Extending Loans
These transactions can be viewed in a positive light, particularly if they allow borrowers to avoid default, thereby increasing the chances the CLO investor will be repaid.
“Extending what is considered to be a maturity wall has key implications for the leveraged loan market,” Matthew Jones, an analytical manager at S&P, said in an interview with ASR sister publication Leveraged Finance News. “The extension means leveraged companies may be able to renegotiate the terms and pricing of the existing loans and provides additional time before repayment is due.”
The increased spread that usually comes with amended loans provides a higher interest coverage for noteholders as well as presents a potential pick-up for CLO equity holders in as far as the CLO is able to distribute interest proceeds via the waterfall structure. And for CLO managers, this type of deal would mean that the CLO will be more heavily invested for longer, thus generating more fees.
But loans with extended maturities can also cause unintended consequences for CLO investors. Senior noteholders’ principal investments can potentially be repaid later than expected. These deals can also create long-dated assets that go beyond the CLO tranche’s legal final maturity date. Because such loans will not repay principal prior to when the CLO note principal is due, noteholders are probably going to experience market value risk if these loans have to be sold in the secondary market to pay back the CLO note principal.
“From a rating perspective, the way we analyze the ability of the manager to add different collateral is tied to an investment criteria that we are normally comfortable with. The types of proceeds that managers can reinvest are also strictly limited after the reinvestment period,” Emanuele Tamburrano, a director at S&P, said an interview with LFN.
“However in amend-to-extend transactions, we would penalize a deal if a significant part of the pool, or a situation where, as per our published criteria, above 5% of the pool is constituted by assets which have a maturity longer than the maturity of the notes. If the maturity of the loan in question goes beyond the maturity of the note itself, this might cause market value risk and this is factored in from a rating standpoint.”
With the growth of amend-to-extend loans, investors are starting to be a little more wary. “Investors, given what they’ve seen, have become wiser to the potential risks in extending transactions,” Sandeep Chana, an associate director at S&P, told LFN.